Mario Kart 7 item probability distributions

The following item probability distributions are used by version 1.1 of Mario Kart 7 to determine the probability of obtaining a certain item when an Item Box is opened^[1]^[2]. Such a probability is coded as a percentage multiplied by two. Text directly derived from in-game data is reported in italics.

Races

During races, the item probability distribution is chosen depending on the current position in the ranking at the moment the Item Box is opened.

Grand Prix races

Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by players (GrandPrix)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1	70	60	10	10										20				30
rank2	30	40	50	30									10	20				20
rank3	10	20	40	30	20			20					20	10					20	10
rank4		10	20	40	20	10		30					20	10	10				10	20
rank5			10	30	10	20	10	40	20			10	10		10				10	20
rank6						30	20	50	40	10		30			10					10
rank7							20	50	30	30	20	50
rank8							10	30	20	60	50	30

Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by software (GrandPrix_AI)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1	90	60		10										10				30
rank2	30	20	65	20	10								15	10				20	10
rank3	30	20	40	30	30								20	10					20
rank4	30	20	20	50	20	10		10					10	10					20
rank5	20	20		70	10	20	10	30	10										10
rank6	20	20		50		20	10	40	20	10		10
rank7	20	10		50		10	20	50	20	10		10
rank8	20	10		45				50	10	20	25	20

VS races

All Items

Local and online VS races, drivers controlled by players (VS, WiFi)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1	100	60												20				20
rank2	25	20	45	30	15								15	20				20	10
rank3	15	10	30	30	20			15					20	10				10	20	20
rank4		10	20	40	20	10		30					10	10	10				20	20
rank5			10	40	10	20	10	60	10			10	10		10				10
rank6				10		30	20	70	40			20			10
rank7							30	60	50	20		40
rank8							20	30	30	40	30	50

Local and online VS races, drivers controlled by software (VS_AI, WiFi_AI)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1	90	60	10	10														30
rank2	40	30	60	20	10								10	20				10
rank3	30	20	50	30	20								20	20					10
rank4	20	20	20	50	20	10		10					10	20					20
rank5	20	30	10	40	20	20	10	20	10										20
rank6		30		40	10	20	10	40	30			10							10
rank7		30		40		10	20	40	30			20							10
rank8		30		30				30	20	40	20	30

Shells Only

VS races with Shells as the only items (Koura)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1		200
rank2		70	90																20	20
rank3		50	80																40	30
rank4		10	70																70	50
rank5			40												30				50	80
rank6							30								40				40	90
rank7							30								50				20	100
rank8							30								60					110

Bananas Only

VS races with Bananas as the only items (Banana)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1	200
rank2	180																	20
rank3	160																	40
rank4	120														20			60
rank5	80														30			90
rank6	30														40			130
rank7															50			150
rank8															60			140

Mushrooms Only

VS races with Mushrooms as the only items (Kinoko)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1				200
rank2				180				20
rank3				150				50
rank4				100				100
rank5				30				140							30
rank6								130				30			40
rank7								90				50			60
rank8								40				80			80

Bob-ombs Only

VS races with Bob-ombs as the only items (Bomb)
Position																Test3	Test4
Position	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
rank1					200
rank2					200
rank3					200
rank4					200
rank5					180										20
rank6					160										40
rank7					130										70
rank8					50										150

Battle Mode

During battles, the item probability distribution is chosen depending on the point difference from the player(s) in first place at the moment the Item Box is opened. There are three possible cases, and the criteria to reach each case are not reported alongside the distributions in the in-game data. The item probability distributions used for Balloon Battles are the same used for Coin Runners battles.

All Items

Local and online Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles, drivers controlled by players (Balloon, Balloon_WiFi, Coin, Coin_WiFi)
Points behind																Test3	Test4
Points behind	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
Less than 2 points/1st place (rank1)	30	60	40	20	10									20				10	10
2-4 points (rank2)	10	20	60	10	20	10		10	10				10	10					20	10
More than 4 points (rank3)			55		20	10		20	30				25		10				10	20

Local and online Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles, drivers controlled by software (Balloon_AI, Balloon_WiFi_AI, Coin_AI, Coin_WiFi_AI)
Points behind																Test3	Test4
Points behind	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
Less than 2 points/1st place (rank1)	30	30	70		10	10							10	10				10	20
2-4 points (rank2)	10	10	80	10	20	10			10				10	10				10	20
More than 4 points (rank3)			100		10	10			20				20	10				10	10	10

Shells Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Shells as the only items (Balloon_Koura, Coin_Koura)
Points behind																Test3	Test4
Points behind	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
Less than 2 points/1st place (rank1)		80	100																20
2-4 points (rank2)		30	80												20				40	30
More than 4 points (rank3)			50												50				30	70

Bananas Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Bananas as the only items (Balloon_Banana, Coin_Banana)
Points behind																Test3	Test4
Points behind	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
Less than 2 points/1st place (rank1)	170																	30
2-4 points (rank2)	120														20			60
More than 4 points (rank3)	50														50			100

Mushrooms Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Mushrooms as the only items (Balloon_Kinoko, Coin_Kinoko)
Points behind																Test3	Test4
Points behind	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
Less than 2 points/1st place (rank1)				150				30							20
2-4 points (rank2)				70				90							40
More than 4 points (rank3)				10				100				40			50

Bob-ombs Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Bob-ombs as the only items (Balloon_Bomhei, Coin_Bomhei)
Points behind																Test3	Test4
Points behind	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
Less than 2 points/1st place (rank1)					200
2-4 points (rank2)					180										20
More than 4 points (rank3)					130										70

Special cases

These item probability distributions are used in special cases.

Decided

These item probability distributions are rather simplified with respect to the ones used in races and battles without specific items. Since the first one corresponds to the distribution of the special item box in DS DK Pass, it is possible that at least some of them are related to special item boxes.

Decided item probability distributions
Type																Test3	Test4
Type	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
type1				70				70	60
type2	200
type3	40	40		90					30
type4	140								60
type5														200
type6														200
type7														200
type8								200
type9									200
type10										200
type11											200
type12												200
type13													200
type14																		200
type15																			200
type16																				200

StreetPass racers item probability distributions

These item probability distributions are assigned to StreetPass racers, according to their title.

StreetPass racers' item probability distributions (Title)
Type																Test3	Test4
Type	Banana	KouraG	KouraR	Kinoko	Bomhei	Gesso	KouraB	Kinoko3	Star	Killer	Thunder	KinokoP	Flower	Konoha	Seven	Test3	Test4	Banana3	KouraG3	KouraR3
Sniper		140																	60
BananaMaster	140																	60
Bomber					200
DefenseMaster	70	70																30	30
Wingman				140				60
Fishman				140				60
type7	200
type8	200

References

^ A transcription of the in-game item probability distributions of Mario Kart 7 related to races and special cases. Retrieved November 21, 2016.
^ A transcription of the in-game item probability distributions of Mario Kart 7 related to Battle mode. Retrieved November 21, 2016.

[1] A transcription of the in-game item probability distributions of Mario Kart 7 related to races and special cases. Retrieved November 21, 2016.

[2] A transcription of the in-game item probability distributions of Mario Kart 7 related to Battle mode. Retrieved November 21, 2016.

[1]

[2]

[Edit] Mario Kart 7
Drivers	Starting	Mario • Luigi • Peach • Yoshi • Bowser • Donkey Kong • Toad • Koopa Troopa
Drivers	Unlockable	Daisy • Wario • Rosalina • Metal Mario • Shy Guy • Honey Queen • Wiggler • Lakitu • Mii
Karts and parts	New karts	Standard • Gold Standard • Birthday Girl • Bumble V • Bruiser • Soda Jet • Tiny Tug • Cact-X • Koopa Clown • Cloud 9 • Zucchini • Blue Seven • Bolt Buggy
	Retro karts	B Dasher • Egg 1 • Barrel Train • Pipe Frame
	Tires	Standard • Gold Tires • Roller • Slim • Slick • Sponge • Mushroom • Wood • Red Monster • Monster
	Gliders	Super Glider • Gold Glider • Peach Parasol • Flower Glider • Beast Glider • Swooper • Paraglider
Courses	Mushroom Cup	Toad Circuit • Daisy Hills • Cheep Cheep Lagoon • Shy Guy Bazaar
	Flower Cup	Wuhu Loop • Mario Circuit • Music Park • Rock Rock Mountain
	Star Cup	Piranha Plant Slide • Wario Shipyard • Neo Bowser City • Maka Wuhu
	Special Cup	DK Jungle • Rosalina's Ice World • Bowser's Castle • Rainbow Road
	Shell Cup	N64 Luigi Raceway • GBA Bowser Castle 1 • Wii Mushroom Gorge • DS Luigi's Mansion
	Banana Cup	N64 Koopa Beach • SNES Mario Circuit 2 • Wii Coconut Mall • DS Waluigi Pinball
	Leaf Cup	N64 Kalimari Desert • DS DK Pass • GCN Daisy Cruiser • Wii Maple Treeway
	Lightning Cup	Wii Koopa Cape • GCN Dino Dino Jungle • DS Airship Fortress • SNES Rainbow Road
Battle stages	Retro stages	GBA Battle Course 1 • N64 Big Donut • DS Palm Shore
Battle stages	New stages	Honeybee Hive • Sherbet Rink • Wuhu Town
Items		Banana • Blooper • Bob-omb • Bullet Bill • Coin • Fire Flower • Golden Mushroom • Green Shell • Item Box • Lightning • Lucky Seven • Mushroom • Red Shell • Spiny Shell • Star • Super Leaf • Triple Bananas • Triple Green Shells • Triple Mushrooms • Triple Red Shells
Objects		Cannon • Crate • Current • Cutting torch • Glide Ramp • Hot-air balloon • Launch Star • Leaf pile • Ramp • Ring • Water Geyser
Enemies and obstacles		Banzai Bill • Barrel • Board • Boulder • Bouncing Note • Bumper • Car • Cheep Cheep • Clampy • Cutting torch • Drain pipe • Fish Bone • Flipper • Flying Shy Guy • Frogoon • Goomba • Jar • Lava • Mountain Goat • Noshi • Oil slick • Penguin • Pickup truck • Pinball • Piranha Plant • Puddle • Rocky Wrench • Screaming Pillar • Sidestepper • Stingby • Super Thwomp • Swoop • Table • Tiki Goon • Thwomp • Train • Walking Tree • Water Geyser
Background characters		Birdo • Boo • Goomba • Hammer Bro • Lakitu • Monty Mole • Shy Guy • Toad • Unagi
Techniques		Drift • Hop • Jump action • Mini-Turbo • Rocket Start • Slipstream • Spin Turn
Miscellaneous		Daisy Cruiser • DK's Tree House • Emblem • Finish line • First-Person View • Gallery • Ghost • Glitches • In-game statistics • Item probability distributions • Kart • Media • Pre-release and unused content • New sponsors • Staff • Underwater driving • Trophy

Mario Kart 7 item probability distributions

Contents

Races

Grand Prix races

VS races

All Items

Shells Only

Bananas Only

Mushrooms Only

Bob-ombs Only

Battle Mode

All Items

Shells Only

Bananas Only

Mushrooms Only

Bob-ombs Only

Special cases

Decided

StreetPass racers item probability distributions

See also

References

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